Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 5.951209 6.533898 7.175369 7.938970 8.829847 9.844701 11.100366
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.250410 6.078982 7.069117 8.361694 10.039308 12.195440 15.269775
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.744472 5.682869 6.866086 8.511884 10.820002 14.077631 19.311500
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.280050 5.247392 6.513643 8.357442 11.098278 15.263708 22.666589
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.930960 4.909993 6.230988 8.229071 11.351394 16.421205 26.336642
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.628654 4.599652 5.941929 8.036219 11.448891 17.318402 29.853448
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.416804 4.391814 5.771120 7.989062 11.757128 18.633670 34.794047
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.240777 4.217727 5.628858 7.961646 12.083224 20.051205 40.715881
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.138027 4.139317 5.618805 8.140854 12.799833 22.440154 50.744578
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.945507 3.914213 5.363649 7.877445 12.641304 22.902980 55.472303
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.773903 3.709770 5.125400 7.617895 12.449670 23.244311 60.133089
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.645857 3.563547 4.968548 7.484494 12.488924 24.153401 67.773445
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.528395 3.434070 4.840887 7.412212 12.691637 25.675900 80.501436
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.503600 3.447601 4.949470 7.790701 13.952184 30.643670 120.521493
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.436266 3.388844 4.931311 7.925698 14.699084 34.545145 168.555623
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.329321 3.259850 4.782831 7.786718 14.763754 36.277370 207.659527
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.235134 3.146313 4.653061 7.671108 14.866250 38.232978 262.410534
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.139433 3.025397 4.502381 7.497256 14.788637 39.505643 320.746686
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.070496 2.945190 4.418745 7.454715 15.054031 42.362642 446.513667
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.009051 2.874319 4.347104 7.429976 15.365902 45.677404 666.552174
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.977269 2.851469 4.360910 7.591607 16.248300 52.470312 1452.581175
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.894725 2.738675 4.201902 7.353972 15.900343 52.669223 1875.146011
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.817373 2.631983 4.049312 7.119439 15.528787 52.599073 2410.176013